Skip to main content

NASA eyes weather forecast for Saturday’s historic SpaceX launch

NASA is making the final preparations for the first-ever operational crewed flight using SpaceX’s Crew Dragon spacecraft.

American astronauts Michael Hopkins, Victor Glover, and Shannon Walker, along with Japan’s Soichi Noguchi, will travel aboard the Crew Dragon to the International Space Station (ISS) on Saturday, November 14, as part of the highly anticipated Crew-1 mission.

Earlier this week, NASA certified SpaceX’s Crew Dragon spacecraft and Falcon 9 rocket to carry astronauts to and from space, making it the first American spacecraft to receive certification since the Space Shuttle program 40 years ago. The development means NASA will no longer have to rely on Russian Soyuz spacecraft to get its astronauts into orbit.

Assuming there are no technical hitches between now and launch time on Saturday, it’s pretty much only the weather that can disrupt the launch plan.

So how is the forecast looking around the launch site at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida? Well, at the time of writing, NASA says there is “a 60% chance of favorable weather conditions at the launchpad for liftoff of NASA’s SpaceX Crew-1 mission based on Falcon 9 Crew Dragon launch weather criteria.”

That criteria, which you can view here, lists in great detail all of the weather conditions that could prevent launch, such as strong winds, nearby thunderstorms, and particular types of cloud.

Currently, there is some concern over Eta, a storm that could linger after making an expected pass on Friday, according to information from the National Hurricane Center.

“Teams will monitor weather conditions both for the launch area and downrange,” NASA said, adding that at the current time the primary weather concerns for launch are cumulus clouds associated with onshore moving showers.

Adverse weather conditions caused a delay to the launch of the milestone Demo-2 mission in May 2020 that saw NASA astronauts Doug Hurley and Bob Behnken become the first humans to fly in the Crew Dragon to the ISS in a test run that paved the way for this weekend’s crewed mission.

At the time, NASA chief Jim Bridenstine said the launch had to be postponed because there was “too much electricity in the atmosphere,” adding, “There wasn’t really a lightning storm … but there was a concern that if we did launch, it could actually trigger lightning, and so we made the right decision.” NASA explains in an article on its website how a launch itself has the potential to cause lightning when weather conditions are poor.

Countdown Dress Rehearsal ➡️ Complete!

Today, @Astro_illini, @AstroVicGlover, Shannon Walker and @Astro_Soichi participated in a countdown dress rehearsal of launch day events. On Nov. 14, they'll fly to the @Space_Station for a six-month science mission: https://t.co/WqniVRWsa0 pic.twitter.com/WbslNAZ5ak

— NASA's Kennedy Space Center (@NASAKennedy) November 12, 2020

On Thursday, two days before launch day, the four Crew-1 astronauts went through all of the pre-flight procedures, including climbing into their space gear, traveling to the launch pad, entering the spacecraft, and checking the communication systems.

Digital Trends has all the information you need to watch the launch event live online.

Trevor Mogg
Contributing Editor
Not so many moons ago, Trevor moved from one tea-loving island nation that drives on the left (Britain) to another (Japan)…
Check out these stunning images of SpaceX’s recent Starship test
SpaceX's Starship spacecraft during a test in June 2023.

As part of preparations for the second test flight of its Super Heavy rocket and Starship spacecraft, SpaceX this week performed a static fire test of the latter.

The exercise, which took place at SpaceX’s Starbase facility in Boca Chica, Texas, involved firing the Starship’s six engines for several seconds.

Read more
Watch this SpaceX Falcon 9 booster takes its 12th ride to space
SpaceX launches a Falcon 9 rocket on June 18, 2023.

SpaceX successfully launched its latest mission from the Kennedy Space Center in Florida on Sunday evening.

The mission sent an Indonesian communications satellite to orbit using a Falcon 9 booster on its 12th flight. The rocket blasted off the launchpad at 6:21 p.m. ET following a delay of 15 minutes due to strong winds.

Read more
SpaceX marks 200th rocket landing with perfect touchdown
A SpaceX Falcon 9 booster landing in June 2023.

SpaceX achieved its 200th Falcon 9 landing on Monday, confirming yet again the viability of its reusable spaceflight system.

The company led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk shared footage showing the first-stage booster in the final stages of its descent before making a perfect upright landing.

Read more