Skip to main content

Analyst doubles Apple Watch sales prediction to 12 million sold in 2015

corning gorilla glass sr apple watch sport  350
Although it may have had a rough start, Apple Watch sales are finally picking up some steam, according to analysts.

With Best Buy and Target offering discounts on the the Watch during the Thanksgiving weekend, FBR & Co. analyst Daniel Ives predicts that sales could reach 6 million for the three-month period leading up to the end of 2015, doubling his estimated total sales figure for the year to 12 million, according to Apple Insider.

Recommended Videos

In early November, Canalys reported that the smartwatch reached 7 million sales, lower than what analysts predicted for Apple’s first wearable. Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty said the Apple Watch would reach 30 million sales in the first year, but KGI Securities analyst Ming Chi-Kuo predicted 15 million sales, a much closer estimate to Ives’ claim of 12 million.

Ives used anecdotal evidence and checked with Apple retail stores on Friday to reach his conclusions. In his note to investors, he said that the wearable devices market will be a $20-billion-plus market opportunity for Apple.

“We continue to view the Apple Watch as a potential door opener for wearable technology across the board, as this next paradigm shift is likely set to take place across the consumer/enterprise landscape,” he wrote.

IBM’s Watson Trend report also mentioned that the Apple Watch is at the top of consumer shopping lists.

Apple, as usual, is keeping quiet on sales numbers, but the company did say in July that the Apple Watch outsold the first-generation iPad in its first nine weeks in the market.

Also related: Apple Watch review (Updated for OS 2.0)

While Apple Watch sales may not have met initial expectations, the company is far from losing its place in the wearable market. In fact, Strategy Analytics reported that Apple took the largest share of wearable sales during the July-September period, a whopping 72.8 percent. The market share doesn’t look too good for Samsung, as it dropped to 9.8 percent.

Julian Chokkattu
Former Digital Trends Contributor
Julian is the mobile and wearables editor at Digital Trends, covering smartphones, fitness trackers, smartwatches, and more…
The Apple Watch’s worst feature isn’t getting better with watchOS 10
Person wearing Apple Watch showing Sleep Tracking information.

Apple Watch Series 8 Joe Maring/Digital Trends

The Apple Watch is perhaps the most popular smartwatch on the market — and for the right reasons. The vast number of features, a number of sport tracking modes, and tight integration with the iPhone make it one of the best smartwatches to buy for most people.

Read more
I thought I would hate the Apple Watch Ultra, but I love it
Someone wearing the Apple Watch Ultra with the Wayfinder face.

When Apple pulled back the curtains on the Apple Watch Ultra last September, it didn't click with me at all. I'm a longtime Apple Watch wearer and love a lot about what Apple's done with the product line, but the idea of strapping on a 49mm smartwatch to my tiny, bony wrists sounded like a horrible idea.

That apprehension has continued since then. Even with my colleagues talking about how to properly wear the Apple Watch Ultra and arguing that the smartwatch really isn't too big,  I still wasn't convinced that the Watch Ultra was for me.

Read more
WatchOS 10 doesn’t fix my biggest issue with the Apple Watch
watchOS 10 presented at WWDC 2023.

As expected, WWDC 2023 was a packed show. From exciting new features in iOS 17 to a 15-inch MacBook Air to Apple's first foray into VR with the Vision Pro headset, there was plenty to get excited about. But I was focused on how Apple would improve the Apple Watch with watchOS 10.

To Apple's credit, there's a lot about watchOS 10 that looks great. The new design for full-screen apps is gorgeous, accessing widgets on your watch face is an ingenious idea, and I'm in love with the two new watch faces.

Read more